Independent market research
Aurum publishes long-form research on the narratives moving markets — how they form, what they price in, and where they break. Every thesis carries an explicit wrong-if, written before the outcome is known and never edited afterward. The negative results are published too.
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The tell is what happens when it's wrong. Aurum's rules exist so that being wrong is survivable, visible, and on the record — because research that can't be wrong isn't research.
Every thesis states what would falsify it before publication. If nothing could prove it wrong, it doesn't run.
The strongest case against the position is made in the paper, by us, at full strength — not summarised and dismissed.
Work that failed is published alongside work that didn't. The file drawer is the most common form of dishonesty in this business.
Corrections are appended and dated. The original stays visible underneath.
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